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UBC Theses and Dissertations

A statistical analysis of finding the best predictor of success in first year calculus at the University of British Columbia Lee, Robert Eugene

Abstract

In this thesis we focus on high school students who graduated from a B.C. high school in 1985 and then proceeded directly to the University of British Columbia (UBC) and registering in a first year calculus course in the 1985 fall term. From this data, we want to determine the best predictor of success (the high school assigned grade for Algebra 12, or the provincial grade for Algebra 12, or the average of the high school and the provincial grade for Algebra 12) in first year calculus at UBC. We first analyze the data using simple descriptive statistics and continuous methods such as regression and analysis of variance techniques. In subsequent chapters, the categorical approach is taken and we use scaling techniques as well as loglinear models. Finally, we summarize our analysis and give conclusions in the final chapter.

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