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Reliability-based progressive collapse and redundancy analysis of suspension bridges

International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability (12th : 2015 : Vancouver, B.C.)

This paper describes a reliability-based approach for evaluating the performance of suspension bridges susceptible to local damage from rare extreme events. The approach accounts for the uncertainties in evaluating the ambient loads during the occurrence of sudden damage and in evaluating the load carrying capacities of the members as well as the damaged system. A method to develop appropriate reliability-based and equivalent deterministic criteria that can be used to assess the potential for progressive collapse are proposed based on risk tolerance levels. Latin Hypercube Simulations (LHS) are used for the system reliability analysis and the consequences of failure are estimated in monetary terms accounting for the cost of rebuilding the bridge, loss of life, traffic and user costs. The risk analysis methodology and the determination of equivalent reliability and deterministic criteria are illustrated using an example suspension bridge subjected to different initial damage scenarios.

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This collection contains the proceedings of ICASP12, the 12th International Conference on Applications of Statistics and Probability in Civil Engineering held in Vancouver, Canada on July 12-15, 2015. Abstracts were peer-reviewed and authors of accepted abstracts were invited to submit full papers. Also full papers were peer reviewed. The editor for this collection is Professor Terje Haukaas, Department of Civil Engineering, UBC Vancouver.

Vancouver : University of British Columbia Library

10.14288/1.0076025

Non UBC

Unreviewed

http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/2.5/ca/